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Sabalenka’s time to turn it around in New York?

  • Dan Imhoff

Mykonos has a firm hold on Aryna Sabalenka when the going gets tough and the season calls for a necessary reset.

The Aegean reboot is a tried and tested means and for the second year running, the world No.1 has pinned hopes on the idyllic Greek island to help resurrect her season.

Sabalenka readily admits 2026 to date hasn’t always panned out as she would have hoped. 

Compounding her imminent three-peat US Open bid, her biggest rivals – Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula – have all hit their straps on the North American summer swing.

Sabalenka’s moment of truth has arrived.

“I think the rest was much needed. I suffered during the [European] summer swing a lot like with my body, with mentally also a little bit,” Sabalenka said. “After Mykonos – I spent five, six days, maybe not even that – I felt much better. I couldn't wait to get back on court and start working towards my goals for this swing.”

Having swept three of the first four finals she contested on hard courts to start the year, including the Brisbane International and the Sunshine Double in the United States, Sabalenka has not reached a title match since.

Former world No.35 and Australia’s Billie Jean King Cup coach Nicole Pratt said the world No.1 could not afford to default to all-out aggression from the outset if she was to rediscover her winning ways. 

“Sabalenka needs to value the ball she is receiving from her opponents,” Pratt told ausopen.com. “It seems like every ball she is trying to crush and there is very little margin for error. She needs to rein it in, play with more consistency and not feel like she needs to play in fifth gear from the first ball hit.”

Following time off in Greece post Wimbledon last year, Sabalenka only returned in time for the Cincinnati Open, where four matches proved ample before her successful US Open defence. It was the ultimate exclamation point on an often-frustrating season by her usual standards. 

Replicating that feat would deliver a statement in a similarly troubled season, despite having retained her grip on No.1 since October 2024.

“It’s always different. That’s the beauty of sport, because there is no guarantees,” Sabalenka said. “It's like every time it's a completely different story.

“How [many] matches do I need? As many as I can, probably. The other question is that I'm getting older, so probably I can play less, just so I'll come to the US Open more fresh.”

Sabalenka’s reign at the top came perilously close to ending in the lead-up following successive round of 16 exits to Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sara Bejlek in Canada and Cincinnati, respectively.

Rybakina, who claimed the honours between the pair in this year’s Australian Open final, has steadily closed the gap having claimed eight of nine completed matches since Wimbledon.

Rybakina denied Naomi Osaka and Gauff to reach the Toronto final where Swiatek had her measure, and she trailed the Pole in the Cincinnati quarterfinals before a left leg injury cut her short.

New York has been the world No.2’s least successful major – only one fourth-round appearance last year – but she could still claim No.1 for the first time without hitting a ball should Sabalenka fail to defend.

A semifinal run regardless would be enough for Rybakina to end her great rival’s 99-week reign.

“I’m just staying in present trying to focus a match at a time,” she told Tennis Channel. “Not looking at the ranking, not following. For me it’s just important to go match by match and hopefully win titles.”

The relief on Gauff’s face was hard to overlook after the world No.4 broke a title drought stretching back to Wuhan last October with victory in the Cincinnati final over Pegula, her former doubles partner.

Gauff’s previous Cincinnati triumph came on the eve of her maiden Grand Slam title in New York three years ago, not that she was buying into the omen too much.

“I feel like I’ve been playing the tennis that I’ve been wanting to play, and now the results are coming,” she said. “I don’t think that this is an indicator that I’m going to do well in New York or anything like that, to be honest, but I’m going in knowing that I can figure out these matches, even if I’m not playing my best.”

Fellow former US Open winner Swiatek ended a title drought of her own a week prior in Toronto.

The six-time Grand Slam champion hadn’t saluted since Cincinnati last year before she improved to 26-5 in tour-level finals with victory over Rybakina. 

“I’m really happy that I kept focusing on growing, changing my game a little bit, improving despite all the opinions that many people have about me every day on the internet,” Swiatek said. “It’s not easy to deal with all of that.”

Her Cincinnati semifinal conqueror, Pegula, has again struck form on North American hard courts and arrives in New York – the site of her sole Grand Slam decider two years ago – with two finals from her past three events.

The world No.3 reached the Washington DC final, where she fell to Alexandra Eala, and despite a straight-sets defeat to Gauff in Ohio had her sights fixed on the season’s final major.

“I couldn't give myself more of a chance, but I think as far as going into a Slam, you just kind of have to wipe it and move on and move forward and keep working on some stuff that I want to get better,” Pegula said.

The US Open pursuit is arguably the most wide open among leading contenders in recent years.

Whether Sabalenka’s latest Aegean reboot helps her successfully rebound in New York is about to become apparent.